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2025Open access

The impact of temperature on the reproductive development, body condition and mortality of autumn migrating monarch butterflies in the laboratory

Rich M, Kesselring JH, Garcia A and others. Royal Society open science, August 2025.

Read the paper Free to read · doi:10.1098/rsos.250343

What this paper is about

Autumn migrating monarchs were caught in the wild and held for 30 days at a range of temperatures matching what they might actually meet on the way south.

The concern is reproductive diapause, the physiological state that lets a monarch delay breeding and make the journey. Warmer temperatures are expected to destabilize it, and the experiment measured the effect on reproductive development, body condition and survival.

Summarised here from the abstract below. Not the authors’ words.

Abstract

Overwintering populations of the monarch butterfly, Danaus plexippus, have been in decline for the past 30 years. Several hypotheses for the decline have been proposed, including summer and winter habitat loss and migration mortality due to non-senescing milkweeds and the parasite Ophryocystis elektroscirrha (OE). However, the impact of climate change on migrant physiology, has been understudied. This is surprising because warmer temperatures will probably destabilize reproductive diapause, a physiological strategy central to migration and overwintering success. Here, we exposed wild-caught migrants to different field-realistic migratory temperatures under laboratory conditions for 30 days, followed by different overwintering temperatures until death. During the migratory phase, warmer temperatures reduced male body condition, increased male mortality, increased mating frequency and caused females to prematurely abandon their reproductive diapause/dormancy and invest in oocyte production in the absence of milkweed. Monarchs that experienced warm migratory conditions prior to overwintering also exhibited greater overwintering reproductive development and mortality. Overall, reproductive development and OE burden were the best predictors of death. These data suggest warm migratory temperatures significantly alter monarch physiology and fitness and provide a mechanism by which climate change could facilitate migratory failure, winter-breeding and overwintering mortality, all of which can decrease overwintering population size.

Abstract reproduced from the published paper, which is licensed CC BY. Copyright remains with the authors.

Key terms

MigrationClimate changeOverwinteringReproductive DiapauseMature OocytesOphryocystis Elektroschirrha

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APA Milkweed USA. (2026). The impact of temperature on the reproductive development, body condition and mortality of autumn migrating monarch butterflies in the laboratory (listing). Retrieved DATE, from https://milkweedusa.com/research/the-impact-of-temperature-on-the-reproductive-development-body-2025/
MLA "The impact of temperature on the reproductive development, body condition and mortality of autumn migrating monarch butterflies in the laboratory (listing)." Milkweed USA, 2026, https://milkweedusa.com/research/the-impact-of-temperature-on-the-reproductive-development-body-2025/. Accessed DATE.
Chicago Milkweed USA. "The impact of temperature on the reproductive development, body condition and mortality of autumn migrating monarch butterflies in the laboratory (listing)." Last modified 2026-08-01. Accessed DATE. https://milkweedusa.com/research/the-impact-of-temperature-on-the-reproductive-development-body-2025/.
BibTeX @misc{milkweedusa_researchtheimpactoftemperatu, title = {The impact of temperature on the reproductive development, body condition and mortality of autumn migrating monarch butterflies in the laboratory (listing)}, author = {{Milkweed USA}}, year = {2026}, url = {https://milkweedusa.com/research/the-impact-of-temperature-on-the-reproductive-development-body-2025/}, note = {Accessed DATE} }